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The China IC Ecosystem Report, a comprehensive report for the IC manufacturing supply chain, reveals that front-end fab capacity in China will grow to account for 16 percent of the world's semiconductor fab capacity this year, a share that will increase to 20 percent by the end of 2020. With the rapid growth, China will top the rest of the world in fab investment in 2020 with more than $20 billion in spending, driven by memory and foundry projects funded by both multinational and domestic companies, according to the new report released today by SEMI.The report also shows that IC Design remained the largest semiconductor sector in China for the second year in a row with $31.9 billion in revenue in 2017, widening its lead over the long-dominant IC Packaging and Test sector. The ascent of China’s IC Design sector comes as the region’s equipment market is expected to claim the top spot in 2020 for the first time on the strength of the continuing development of its domestic manufacturing capability. China’s maturing domestic fab sector is also benefiting domestic equipment and materials suppliers. Both groups continue to see gains in their product offerings and capabilities, particularly in silicon wafer production. The China IC Ecosystem Report is produced by SEMI, the global industry association and provider of independent electronics market research.The more than RMB140 billion (US$21.5 billion) accumulated by the National IC Fund, a critical component of the 2014 National Guideline to address China’s semiconductor trade deficit, has spurred rapid gains throughout the region’s IC supply chain. Semiconductors are China’s largest import by revenue. Phase 2 of funding aims to raise another RMB150-200 billion ($23.0-$30.0 billion).Encouraged by the National Guideline and favorable policies, skilled overseas talent is returning to China, triggering an explosion of domestic IC Design start-ups that are benefiting from access to investment and favorable policies, the report shows.Other highlights from The China IC Ecosystem Report include: Currently 25 new fab construction projects are underway or planned in China. 17 - 300 mm fabs are being tracked as part of this investment and expansion activity. Foundry, DRAM and 3D NAND are the leading segments for fab investment and new capacity in China. China’s IC Packaging and Test industry is also moving up the value chain by enhancing its technology offerings through mergers and acquisitions and building advanced capabilities to entice international integrated device manufacturers. China’s IC materials market, currently dominated by Packaging materials, became the second largest regional market for materials in 2016, a position it solidified in 2017. China’s materials market is expected to grow at a 10 percent CAGR from 2015 to 2019, driven primarily by the region’s new fab capacity ramp in the coming years. Fab capacity will expand at a 14 percent CAGR during that period. The China IC Ecosystem Report covers the latest semiconductor supply chain and market developments including the rise of China’s IC industry, national and local government policies, public and private funding, and their implications for China's IC supply chain. The report also compares key domestic companies and their international peers segment by segment. To learn more and get a sample of the report, visit http://www.semi.org/en/china-ic-ecosystem-report.Eugenia is a Senior Product Marketing Manager at SEMI.
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In testimony today before a U.S. government interagency panel considering tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, SEMI called for the removal of nearly 100 tariff lines, all of which cover items critical to the semiconductor manufacturing process, including materials and machines.Jonathan Davis, global vice president of advocacy at SEMI, explained in his testimony that while SEMI strongly supports efforts to better protect valuable intellectual property (IP), tariffs will not help address Chinese trade practices, and will ultimately have significant and unintended consequences. SEMI asserts that these tariffs will harm companies in the semiconductor supply chain by increasing business costs, introducing uncertainty, and stifling innovation. Collectively, SEMI estimates that this round of tariffs will cost its 400 U.S. members more than tens of millions annually in additional duties. All told, SEMI estimates that all U.S. and Chinese retaliatory tariffs will cost members nearly $700 million in annual duties. SEMI’s full written comments note that these tariffs, on top of those already in force and the retaliatory tariffs, will hamstring the industry. The tariffs seem to target U.S. firms for simply operating in China. Given that tools and materials are extremely complex, precise, and difficult to manufacture, it is unreasonable to believe that a constituent component can simply be replaced with a part from another source. Further, this U.S. government approach does not take into account that many items subject to these tariffs are not available, at sufficient quality and cost, from domestic sources, or even non-Chinese sources. We stand steadfast in our belief that this trade action will raise prices, put thousands of high-paying and high skill jobs at risk, and curb growth.Over the past four months, SEMI submitted written comments and offered testimony on the two previous rounds of tariffs, citing the damaging impact tariffs would have on the U.S. semiconductor industry. The first round of tariffs – on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods – took effect July 6, and the second round – targeting $16 billion in Chinese imports – will be imposed on August 23. The tariffs hit machines and tools central to the semiconductor industry, including equipment used to manufacture wafers, boules, and chips as well as test, inspection and sensing equipment. We urge SEMI members to review the $200 billion U.S. tariff list to determine the level, if any, of impact. We also strongly encourage members to review Chinese retaliatory lists as well. Any SEMI members with questions should contact Jay Chittooran, Public Policy Manager at SEMI, at [email protected].
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2Q’18 Electronic Supply Chain Growth Update Chart 1 is a preliminary estimate of global growth of the electronic supply chain by sector for 2Q’18 vs 2Q’17. Note the strong performance of semiconductors, SEMI capital equipment and passive components. Chart 2 gives preliminary 2Q’18 world electronic equipment growth by type. Global electronic equipment sales rose an estimated 9%+ when consolidated into US dollars in the second quarter of this year compared to the same quarter in 2017. Based on this, data global electronic equipment sales growth appears to have now peaked on a 3/12 growth basis for this present business cycle (Chart 3). As a caution these charts are based on a combination of actual company financial reports and estimates for companies that have not yet reported their calendar second quarter financial results. A number of large companies have yet to report but these early estimates have historically been close to final growth values. We will update Chart 1 next month.Semiconductor Capital Equipment Business Cycle Semiconductor capital equipment sales are historically very volatile, with their growth fluctuating MUCH MORE than electronic equipment (Chart 4). However, both series appear to have peaked on a 3/12 basis for this current cycle. Semiconductors, SEMI capital equipment and Taiwan chip foundry sales all are seeing slower growth. 3/12 values 1 still indicate an expansion but slower growth is indicated. Supply chain performance in the second half of this year bears careful watching!Walt Custer of Custer Consulting Group is an analyst focused on the global electronics industry.
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U.S.-China Trade War Heats UpThe U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) yesterday released a 25 percent tariff on $16 billion in imports from China, including 29 tariff lines that represent the heart of the semiconductor industry. These tariff lines include semiconductor products such as machines and spare parts used to make, wafers, flat panel displays, masks and chips, and will cost SEMI’s 400 U.S. members an estimated more than $500 million annually in additional duties.SEMI, along with hundreds of companies, including Lam Research and KLA-Tencor, submitted written comments, requesting the removal of tariff lines from the proposed list. SEMI also testified on behalf of the semiconductor industry, joining more than 80 other companies, including Applied Materials, in opposing the duties before an U.S. government interagency panel in late July.This trade action is on top of the already imposed $34 billion U.S. tariff list, which will cost SEMI’s U.S. members tens of millions of dollars annually. In the coming days, USTR will publish details on how U.S. companies can request the exclusion of products from the $16 billion tariff list, much as it did for the first round of $34 billion.In a swift retaliation, China announced a 25 percent tariff on $16 billion in U.S. exports, including products vital to semiconductor manufacturing such as chemicals, test equipment and other parts. Both U.S. and China tariffs will take effect on August 23.The new tariffs come as China considers tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. imports, and the U.S. weighs additional duties on $200 billion of Chinese imports – a wave that would inflict even deeper damage on the U.S. semiconductor industry. This latest round of U.S. tariffs would cover goods used in microelectronics manufacturing, including chemicals, glass products and spare parts. SEMI will testify against the $200 billion tariff list later this month. If your company expects to be impacted by the proposed tariffs on $200 billion worth of goods, please contact SEMI staff.SEMI stands firm in its belief that none of the tariffs address U.S. concerns over China’s trade practices. Instead, they harm companies in the semiconductor supply chain by increasing business costs, introducing uncertainty and stifling innovation. SEMI will continue to engage with policymakers as both the U.S. and China $16 billion tariff lists are implemented. We will also be evaluating the products covered by the $200 billion U.S. list and the $60 billion Chinese list as both are further considered. We encourage members to review these lists to determine impact on their companies. For more information, please contact Jay Chittooran, Public Policy Manager at SEMI, at [email protected].
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The march to greater precision, efficiency and safety – the lifeblood of high-technology manufacturing facilities – has taken on a new urgency as emerging applications such artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT) and Industry 4.0 give new meaning to smart factories. Facing fiercer competition and ever more sophisticated fabrication processes, semiconductor fabs are under intense pressure to keep pace with new technologies as they work to upgrade. Nowhere are the stakes higher than in Taiwan, where high-tech manufacturing contributes mightily to the region’s GDP growth. To help Taiwan fabs confront the challenges and opportunities of designing smarter factories, SEMI and its High-Tech Facility Committee hosted the High-Tech Facility Workshop in June. SEMICON Taiwan 2018 High-Tech Facility Pavilion exhibitors gathered to explore how they can build smarter factories by deploying smart surveillance and disaster prevention technologies along with smart communications systems that better use manufacturing data to drive new safety and product quality efficiencies.During the workshop, SEMI High-Tech Facility Committee representatives shared strides it has made upgrading overseas facilities and developing standards to help establish smart factories in Taiwan.SEMICON Taiwan – 5-7 September at Taipei’s Nangang Exhibition Center – is also an important event for advancing smart manufacturing in Taiwan. Nearly 30 leading global manufacturers will exhibit at the SEMICON Taiwan High-Tech Facility Pavilion. The venue covers operational aspects of semiconductor manufacturing vital to becoming smarter including energy savings, nano-contamination control, facility information modeling, precision instrumentation and control, fire protection, mechatronics, and automation control. The pavilion will also feature a series of theme events offering a comprehensive overview of topics including the latest practices for integrating smart facility capabilities from the perspective of an advanced fab designer.At the TechXPOT stage, High-Tech Facility Pavilion exhibitors will also demonstrate the latest technology breakthroughs and cutting-edge smart factor solutions.The September 6th High-Tech Facility International Forum at SEMICON Taiwan will again gather factory experts and thought leaders from industry and academia to examine “Effective Ways to Make a Facility Smart.“ Experts from industry heavyweights in the fields of wafer foundry, LCD, memory and semiconductor packaging including TSMC, UMC, Innolux, ASE, Micron Taiwan, Winbond and VIS will offer insights into key areas of high-tech facilities including facility electricity, machinery, water management, vaporization and automation systems. On the same day as the forum, the High-Tech Facility Get-Together and High-Tech Facility VIP Dinner will bring together industry elites, academic professionals, and government officials to explore partnership opportunities. SEMI Taiwan and the High-Tech Facility Committee share HTF market trends information, technology updates and standards with SEMI members and exhibitors. Founded in 2013, the High-Tech Facility Committee now has 85 corporate members. Dedicated to accelerating industry collaboration through the integration of Taiwan industrial, government and academic resources, the committee each year holds several group meetings focusing on topics including energy savings, earthquake and fire protection, nano-contamination control, and precision instrumentation and control to advance critical technologies and facilitate standardization. The committee also aims to help the industry become more competitive faster by promoting technology standards that boost productivity and reduce production costs.Please visit www.semi.org and www.semicontaiwan.org for more information about SEMI’s high-tech facility initiatives.Iris Tsou is a marketing specialist at SEMI Taiwan.
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Ahead of his presentation on the future of wearables at the European MEMS Sensors Summit 2018, 19-21 September in Grenoble, France, SEMI spoke with Dr. Peter Weigand, vice president, Business Strategy and Portfolio Management, Bosch Sensortec GmbH. Dr. Weigand gave a glimpse into insights he’ll share at the event.1. Wearables such as smartwatches, fitness trackers or hearables are becoming ubiquitous – but what are the must-haves for wearables for daily use by wearers?We see that users nowadays want to track their activities such as steps walked, calories burnt and floor levels “climbed” on a daily and holistic basis. “Quantifying yourself” is becoming an overall trend in our society with health, fitness and well-being continuously gaining in importance. This is only possible if information about activities is delivered comprehensively in an accurate manner. Therefore, at Bosch Sensortec we provide MEMS sensors that measure the user’s activity very precisely. For example, the smart sensor hubs BHI260 and BHA260 provide sophisticated in-sensor algorithms (e.g. activity recognition) with very low latency and guaranteed performance due to the real-time nature of the embedded software. From the system manufacturer’s perspective, “quantifying yourself” on a 24/7 basis means that the device has to be “always-on.”However, these always-on functions usually consume a lot of battery power, which poses challenges to the manufacturers and system designers, as the battery capacity is usually small due to the size of the wearable. This shows two other must-haves for the users nowadays. First, the compact size of the device. While smartphones have become larger, users of wearables benefit from the devices’ small size and their low weight, offering the possibility to wear them directly on the body. Therefore, we design the footprint and height of our MEMS sensors as small as possible to ensure the compact size and the ease of integration into new, stylish types of wearables. For example, the BMP388, measuring only 2 x 2 x 0.75 mm³, qualifies as the world’s smallest barometric pressure sensor. The second requirement in this regard is long battery life. Users do not want to charge their wearable device every other day, as this would also impede the always-on activity tracking aspect. At Bosch Sensortec, we hence provide MEMS sensors that run at ultra-low power to ensure always-on endurance and a long battery life. The BMA400 is an ultra-low power acceleration sensor that draws ten times less current than existing accelerometers.2. Are there any other user requirements for wearables?Yes, we see for example that just tracking the number of steps or the calories burnt is not enough anymore. Users require multi-functional devices that also provide information that can be used to monitor sleeping behaviour, navigate in cities, or prepare your smart home for your arrival. We are equipping our sensors with more features and developing new types of sensors that add new functionalities to wearable devices. For example, we have developed a smart watch Projection Module that can project information on the back of the user’s hand for an additional, enlarged display. While smart watches are rising in popularity, demand for basic wristbands is waning. Users are paying more attention to device design. Like clothing, the look and feel of the device should support the user’s individual style.At the same time, with more fashion brands are entering the wearables market we are providing sensors that are easy to integrate into new types of wearables such as hybrid watches. Our products feature a small form factor to ensure flexible, simple design-in. For example, the new BMA400 acceleration sensor easy to design into various applications. Finally, to conform to the user, the wearable must adapt to the user’s individual habits and motions such as learning different gestures, requiring the devices to be not only smart but increasingly intelligent with artificial intelligence (AI). We are providing sensors, such as the BHI260, with embedded, local intelligence with advanced algorithms that enable devices to learn. We are developing intelligent software solutions that use deep learning, enabling device to adapt to the user’s individual behaviour.3. What current techniques are design engineers using to reduce power consumption of wearables?Several techniques are being developed to reduce power consumption. The goal largely is to reduce the power draw of components that are always-on, such as the screen in a smartwatch. In activity trackers, the motion sensor is always on to sense, track, classify and store motion data. Reducing the power needed to operate these features will cut total system power consumption as well. A good example is our BMA400 accelerometer that has a current consumption of less than 1 µA in full operation.At the same time, it independently processes sensor data. For example, the device converts the three-axis motion sensor data stream into step counting events. This allows the main (host) microcontroller to remain in the stand-by mode required for activity tracking and to be activated by the accelerometer to deliver full power only, say, every 100 steps. The sensor, rather than the microcontroller, manages the overall duty cycling of the microcontroller to reduce system power and increase overall efficiency.4. What alternatives are engineers exploring to reduce power consumption? What is the role of intelligence directly within sensors for local processing capabilities in wearables?We have seen how the BMA400 can reduce power by integrating the motion classification functions. We can take this concept further by integrating a microcontroller that’s specifically tailored for low-power sensor data processing, such as the “fuser core” that Bosch Sensortec uses within its smart sensor hubs such as BHI260 or BHA260. The built-in sensor data fusion and machine learning hardware accelerators make it uniquely suited to reduce overall system power. The concept of edge computing has been around for many years, but only in this and the previous sensor generation with built-in local intelligence are we reducing the full power profile of the wearable device. Our sensor architecture design allows us to process the power locally in the MEMS sensor without waking up the main application processor.5. What technologies are you developing to lengthen battery life without compromising performance? We are continuously improving the MEMS and ASIC designs of our sensor portfolio to drive ever higher power efficiency. The BMA400 draws 10 times less current than existing accelerometers while delivering solid high performance (e.g. low-noise data). 6. Wearable device feature and performance requirements are continuously rising. Will batteries need to be larger to support these requirements? Since the beginning of the portable consumer electronics, improving batter life and reducing chip power consumption have been parallel efforts, a trend we expect to continue. However, we expect a greater focus on the overall system power reduction with sensors managing the power, turning on and off microcontrollers, radios (including GPS) and displays in wearable devices.7. What do you expect from European MEMS Sensors Summit 2018 and why do you recommend attending in Grenoble?The European MEMS Sensors Summit is a very important platform for us. It is an opportunity to meet partners, customers, industry leaders, to exchange ideas and to get new insights and thus to ultimately refine our solutions for our global customer base. Our ultimate goal is to improve people’s individual lifestyle and well-being.Serena Birschetto is a marketing communications manager in SEMI Europe.
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Two months after opposing $34 billion in U.S. trade tariffs on behalf of the U.S. semiconductor manufacturing industry, Jonathan Davis, global vice president of industry advocacy at SEMI, this week spoke out against an additional $16 billion in duties on Chinese goods. Testifying before the same U.S. interagency panel mulling the tariffs, Davis called for the removal of 29 tariff lines covering items critical to semiconductor manufacturing including machines and spare parts used to make, wafers, flat panel displays and masks.In his testimony to the panel, Davis stressed that while SEMI supports stronger protections against the theft of valuable intellectual property (IP), tariffs do little to address U.S. concerns over IP loss. Over the past month, SEMI has also submitted written comments and opposed the tariffs in public testimony. The panel includes representatives from the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), Departments of Treasury, Commerce, State and Defense, and the Council of Economic Advisers.Also testifying, Joe Pon, corporate vice president at Applied Materials, explained that the proposed tariffs will harm small and midsized companies and other U.S. business interests. Describing the tariffs as a tax on exports of high-value U.S. goods, Pon said the duties give non-U.S. firms an unfair competitive advantage.In a parallel push to Davis’s testimony, SEMI, with more than 10 representatives from six member companies, met with 16 congressional offices this week to underscore the damage the tariffs would wreak on the U.S. semiconductor industry. The fallout would include higher operating costs, fewer exports and slower innovation. The tariffs would also curb industry growth and put thousands of high-paying, high-skill jobs at risk. SEMI pressed congressional leaders to reject the tariffs and support a push for congress to re-assert itself on trade policy.Tariffs to Cost U.S. SEMI Members More than $500 MillionSEMI estimates that the second list of proposed tariffs, covering about $16 billion in Chinese goods, will cost its 400 U.S. members more than $500 million annually in additional duties.The tariffs on $34 billion in Chinese goods, which took effect July 6, impact products such as test and inspection equipment as well as spare parts that enter the U.S. from China. That round of tariffs will cost SEMI member companies and estimated tens of millions of dollars annually. SEMI Public Policy Team Asks Members to Review Tariff ListLooking ahead, SEMI encourages members to review the newly released $200 billion tariff list, determine any impact to their businesses and share their findings with SEMI’s public policy team.The U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) has published the exclusion process for products subject to the China 301 tariffs. If your company’s products are subject to tariffs, you can request an exclusion.In evaluating product exclusion requests, the USTR will consider whether a product is available from a source outside of China, whether the additional duties would cause severe economic harm to the requestor or other U.S. interests, and whether the product is strategically important or related to Chinese industrial programs (such as “Made in China 2025”).The deadline for submitting product exclusion requests to USTR is October 9, 2018. Approved exclusions will be effective for one year upon approval and retroactive to July 6, 2018.More information including the process for submitting the product exclusion request can be found here.Any SEMI members with questions should contact Jay Chittooran, Public Policy Manager at SEMI, at [email protected].
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Standing-room only keynote speeches. A future awash in data amassed by transformative technologies and applications, with semiconductors at their core. Smart everything: Cars, medicine, manufacturing, workforce, you name it. The sheer numbers impressed as a record lineup of SEMICON West keynote speakers offered a glowing portrait of the future: The semiconductor industry stands on the cusp of a breakout expansion. Standing and seated shoulder-to-shoulder in the packed-to-gills opening keynote, the audience learned, indeed, that the best was yet to come: “This is the best SEMICON West, ever,” observed SEMI CEO Ajit Manocha. Here’s a glimpse of the keynotes by the numbers, starting with the luckiest of all. 7 – The number of keynotes – among the brightest lights in technology – sharing their visions of the future through the lens of breakthrough technologies that are nearly ready to make their indelible mark. Dozens of expert panelists also weighed in at SEMICON West, the annual U.S. flagship microelectronics gathering in San Francisco. 90 – The percentage of all data ever generated has been created in just the past two years as the cloud mushrooms with tweets, texts, emails, Facebook posts, YouTube videos, medical records and all manner of business information, noted Bill Bottoms, president and CEO of Third Millennium Test Solutions. In the years ahead, an almost unimaginable wealth of data will require analysis by artificial intelligence (AI) embedded in semiconductors to enable applications that go well beyond smart. 12-18 – That’s how many months it will take for data volume to double, predicted John Kelly III, IBM’s Senior VP, Cognitive Solutions. And it will double again and again, every 12-18 months. Kelly foresees a scale of growth “that will dwarf previous eras of computing … the number of opportunities is enormous.” Kelly’s four decades in computing gave considerable weight to his point that “in the industry, there has never been a more exciting point in time than today.” First – Technology is being re-born. Using baseball lingo, several speakers noted that we are just in “the first inning,” “the top half of the first inning” or “the beginning of the first inning” to make clear in the most emphatic terms the duration of prosperity that lies ahead for the industry. AI embedded in chips and demand for real-time analysis of AI data will be its fuel. As SEMI Americas president Dave Anderson observed with a smile, “We all know how long baseball games can go.” Third – That’s the current wave of machine learning the world is now experiencing, according to Sandia National Laboratories’ Principal Member Conrad James. Computers are now capable of solving many increasingly complex problems on their own, with no human intervention necessarily required, he said. 1000x – As spectacularly fast as computing power already is today, the industry will need to double that the rate of performance in the years ahead, predicted Applied Materials president and CEO Gary Dickerson. Demand for this herculean processing capacity will spur a “tremendous focus on innovation” among SEMI members, their customers and their customers’ customers. 5 to 15 – The remarkable amount of silicon that power today’s mobile devices will be overshadowed by the chips – equivalent in computing capacity to 5 to 15 cell phones – that will be the engine of self-driving and other features in future automobiles, predicted Pierre Ferragu, New Street Research Managing Partner, during the SEMI Bulls and Bears session. Automobiles with this souped-up computing capacity will sell in the millions worldwide in the years ahead, generating never-before-seen opportunities for the chip industry, he noted. 10,000 – It’s not just cars. Ten thousand is the number of sensors that will be built just into the wings of new Airbus A380-1000 aircraft, AMD CTO Mark Papermaster explained during his keynote. 10 terabits – The staggering amount of Facebook data uploaded daily in to the cloud, Papermaster noted. 1 Trillion – SEMI’s 2020 forecast that the industry will reach $500 billion in revenues by 2020 was eclipsed by one analyst, speaking at the SEMI Market Symposium on the first day of the event, predicted that the industry would top $1 trillion in the foreseeable future. SEMI’s Manocha later added that $1 trillion in industry revenue is possible by 2030, “maybe sooner.” 1 (sexy) coda – Coders are hip and software applications are the apple of the world’s eye. Even the most casual mobile device user knows that software apps makes it whirl. But “hardware is becoming sexy again,” said Applied Materials’ Dickerson, adding that equipment and other semiconductor hardware developed by SEMI members will enable the next great wave of global economic growth. Scott Stevens, SEMI
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