semiconductor

The semiconductor industry continues to push the boundaries of innovation, making quality management more critical than ever. To address these challenges, SEMI Quality Benchmarking Consortium (QBC) brings together leading companies to share best practices, benchmark performance, and drive collective improvement across the global semiconductor ecosystem.The latest QBC meeting was hosted by Roberto Lissoni of STMicroelectronics at their Agrate site near Milan, Italy. Representatives from Bosch, GlobalFoundries, Infineon, Micron, NXP, and Texas Instruments gathered for two days of deep discussion and knowledge exchange. (From Right to Left) – Roberto Lissoni (STMicroelecetronics), Giorgio Cesana (STMicroelectronics), Fern Yoon (Texas Instruments), Jens Luepke (Infineon), Mark da Silva (SEMI), Kerstin Nocke (Bosch), John Lepper (GlobalFoundries), Bill Lechten (Micron), Lou Cerra (NXP)With over 5,000 employees, ST’s Agrate facility is the company’s largest in Italy, with a strong commitment to innovation through university collaborations. The site includes both 200mm and 300mm wafer fabs, R D centers, and product development teams. STMicroelectronics Agrate, ItalyThe QBC operates on a “Give-to-Get” philosophy: members must actively contribute survey responses and participate in open discussions to access shared benchmarking data. This meeting focused on four topics: zero defect customer satisfaction, safe launch, knowledge management, and organizational comparisons. Participants presented their approaches, shared lessons learned, and engaged in roundtable discussions to identify best-known methods and address common challenges. Zero Defect and Continuous ImprovementParticipants explored the evolving definition of “zero defect,” emphasizing that it’s not about literal perfection, but about meeting customer commitments and requirements. Quality programs are multi-year, cross-functional initiatives, often embedded in broader operational excellence campaigns. Companies leverage KPIs such as parts per million, cost of nonconformance, and customer satisfaction. They tie these metrics to incentive programs and executive reporting. Continuous improvement is driven by Lean, Six Sigma, and employee engagement, with a strong focus on early detection (“shift left”), cross-functional teams, and digital tools for analytics and feedback. Customer Satisfaction and ScorecardsCustomer scorecards and surveys are central to measuring satisfaction, with processes varying by region and account type. Most organizations use a mix of manual and automated systems to collect, review, and act on scorecard data, supplementing these with relationship and transactional surveys. AI and predictive analytics are emerging tools for anticipating customer feedback and improving proactive management, though data security remains a priority. Safe Launch and Risk ManagementThe QBC companies shared decision criteria, risk assessment methodologies (FMEA, TRA), and enhanced control plans for new products and technologies. Cross-functional collaboration is key, with product quality managers accountable for planning and reporting. Digitalization and integration with manufacturing execution systems (MES) are advancing, and there’s growing interest in leveraging AI for risk assessment and process optimization. Knowledge Management and Lessons LearnedKnowledge management remains a challenge, with most companies relying on distributed databases, expert teams, and informal networks. They are piloting structured lessons learned forums, audit systems, and semantic search tools to improve findability and reuse. Effective knowledge management happens when insights are embedded directly into business processes, supported by continuous review and governance. Looking Ahead: AI, Predictive Quality, and ExpansionThe consortium plans to explore topics such as artificial intelligence, predictive quality management, and secure data sharing through dedicated sessions and working groups, with a focus on practical applications and insights from external subject matter experts.Read about the first QBC meeting hosted by Infineon here. Sarah Shen is Senior Coordinator, MEMS Sensors Industry Group at SEMI.

The semiconductor and electronics industries are at a turning point. Once defined by efficiency and scale, supply chains now face a convergence of pressures—from geopolitical tensions and climate risks to accelerating innovation cycles. The stakes are higher than ever, but so are the opportunities to reimagine how this global ecosystem operates.The End of “Just-in-Time” as We Knew ItIn 2025, one thing is clear: the old “just-in-time, globally concentrated” supply chain model can no longer carry the industry forward. Trade policies are tightening, export controls are multiplying, and tariff investigations are fragmenting markets that once felt seamlessly connected.At the same time, natural resource risks are mounting. PwC estimates that by 2035, nearly one-third of global semiconductor production could face copper supply disruptions caused by climate change. That figure rises to nearly 60% by 2050 if emissions remain unchecked. Add to this the growing maze of regulatory barriers and import restrictions on raw materials, and the industry faces rising procurement challenges and relentless cost volatility.Demand Isn’t WaitingWhile supply chains struggle with constraints, demand continues its upward climb. Global chip sales are rebounding, driven by innovation cycles in AI, automotive electronics, 5G, and renewable energy. Bringing new manufacturing capacity online takes years. The imbalance is widening, and companies can’t afford to rely on outdated, reactive supply chain models.Resiliency has become mission critical. And as the saying goes: you can’t respond to risks you can’t see. Guesswork isn’t a strategy—especially when disruptions are systemic.Fragility in a Fragmented EcosystemSemiconductor production is specialized and geographically fragmented. A disruption at a single node—whether a mine, a fab, or a logistics hub—can ripple through the ecosystem in days or even hours.Recent shocks have only reinforced this fragility:Trade restrictions are pushing manufacturers to rethink supply chain design.Climate change is endangering raw materials like copper and quartz, both highly water- and energy-intensive to produce.Market volatility is being driven by the explosive rise of AI and data center demand.The lesson is simple: resilience is no longer optional—it’s an existential requirement. And the path to resilience runs through visibility, agility, and collective intelligence.Real-Time Intelligence: From Luxury to NecessityIn today’s environment, quarterly or even monthly reporting cycles are dangerously slow. By the time a shortage, tariff, or logistics reroute appears on the radar, the window to act may have already closed. The cost of waiting—or doing nothing—is steep, and the damage can be lasting.Real-time data and AI-driven insights aren’t “nice-to-have” tools anymore. They are strategic imperatives for supply chains under constant stress. They allow companies to anticipate risks, respond faster, and align more effectively with partners across the ecosystem.Collaboration Is the New CurrencyNo company can go it alone. A chipmaker depends on its suppliers, just as a rare earth miner depends on transport partners. The global supply chain is a living system—and its resilience depends on the strength of its interconnections.Deeper supplier relationships, visibility into Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers, and shared intelligence on geopolitical and regulatory shifts are all critical. Resiliency isn’t built in silos; it’s forged through collective action.Building the Future TogetherThe semiconductor and electronics industries stand at the threshold of a new era—one of collective risk but also shared potential. Companies that embrace transparency, real-time intelligence, and collaboration will not just survive shocks, but emerge stronger, more agile, and better prepared to lead.In this new chapter, collaboration is the currency of resilience.That’s where Conductor™ comes in: a real-time intelligence platform built to help industry players anticipate, adapt, and act – together. Conductor weaves all those threads together, delivering not just data, but a shared situational awareness, helping the industry to think and act as a system rather than a collection of silos.What Conductor Enables - and What It Could Lead ToSmarter, faster decisionsA platform like Conductor, which uses near real time data, AI-powered news and alerts, and community-driven insights, turns reactive “damage control” into proactive “risk management.”By bringing together cross-segment, critical KPIs, curated AI news, expert analysis, and peer-community intelligence, Conductor helps teams understand what’s happening now, assess the likely impact on their business, and decide how to respond - faster, and with more context.Over time, this could shift the default mode of the industry from “fire-fighting” to “anticipatory steering.”A more adaptive supply chainAs more organizations adopt the platform, the collective visibility improves. Conductor can power scenario planning, enable early warning systems, and foster agile “micro-pivot” strategies: reroute logistics, adapt sourcing, or reallocate production before a disruption becomes a crisis.New models of ecosystem resilienceWith consistent, shared intelligence, industry players can identify common vulnerabilities and coordinate mitigation for mutual gain. Over time, this could lead to more resilient operations through diversified sourcing strategies, and even shared contingency mechanisms.In short: Conductor is a building block toward a more distributed, more transparent, more resilient global semiconductor ecosystem.Accelerated innovation cyclesWhen the risk of disruption is better managed, companies can operate with more confidence, investing in new capacity, experimenting with new chip architectures, or integrating new markets more aggressively. Technology diffusion accelerates when the fear of “what-if” is reduced.Where We Go From HereConductor is already in early-access pilot phase, and feedback from the SEMI Supply Chain Management Initiative’s Industry Advisory Council is actively shaping its evolution.As adoption spreads, network effects will increase the platform’s predictive power, making it more valuable for everyone involved.In an industry that’s increasingly defined by fast change and high stakes, tools like Conductor shift the balance: from reactive scramble to informed strategy, opaque fragility to visible resilience, and from isolated action to ecosystem collaboration.The future of supply chain resilience starts here. Sign up for early access to Conductor today and help drive the new era of trade.Talal Abu-Issa is Co-CEO and Co-Founder of Beebolt.Krish Dharma is Strategic Advisor, SEMI Supply Chain Initiative.

The drive to scale nodes towards physical limits, known as "More than Moore," and the adoption of 3D architecture in chip integration strategies for advanced logic and memory applications has led to unprecedented demand for high-quality dependable materials solutions. With the aid of digital solutions, the process is expedited with higher quality and efficiency.SEMI spoke with Thorsten vom Stein, Director, Head of Process Design Semiconductor Materials at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, about how materials innovations and advanced packaging can contribute to smarter supply chain solutions for a sustainable ecosystem.More insights into key aspects of 3D architecture in chip integration and heterogeneous integration will be shared at the Advanced Packaging Conference (APC) during SEMICON Europa 2024, Nov. 12-15 in Munich, Germany. Registration is open.SEMI: What makes the digitalization of chemical process design for semiconductor materials manufacturing so challenging at a technology level? Vom Stein: The primary challenge in digitalization of process design is achieving data rich experimentation and design flexibility from the start. When we begin the process design for a novel material solution, the freedom of design needs to be very high for optimal outcomes. For example, to identify the best sequence of unit operations to achieve best process intensification, do we need a distillation or extraction after the reaction to meet the purity requirements? At the same time, the samples from these early process trials need to have purity levels and process reliability standards for high-volume manufacturing of routine production in order to meet the requirements of our customers’ leading-edge chip integration strategies. We address this need by executing data rich experimentation starting with first trial, and thereby establish “production ready” data density in the lab.To avoid confining our design space, we therefore need highly “sensorized” and automated modular lab equipment that can give us the data density we need and flexibility at the same time.SEMI: Are data-driven approaches also applied to streamline manufacturing processes? Vom Stein: Yes, data-driven approaches are key to driving cost, quality, process reliability and sustainable excellence. As we scale up from lab experiments to high-volume manufacturing—often times increasing volumes by two or three orders of magnitude—we scale the process model virtually ahead of its physical twin to de-risk these major scale-up steps. An example of this is simulating the effect of reactor geometry on the impurity profile.Establishing this handshake between the physical asset and the process model early in the development has a lot of benefits for sustained cost efficiency of the future manufacturing process. For instance, it allows for optimization of yield and cycle times to the existing asset infrastructure. Furthermore, we can achieve quality reliability critical to our customers by establishing end-to-end correlation models that link the quality of incoming raw materials to finished good impurity profiles.Finally, we can achieve the lowest possible carbon footprint and minimize waste streams and energy intensity via process intensification by matching the unit operation sequence to the specific thermodynamics and kinetics of the process.SEMI: How can advanced packaging contribute to the pursuit of net zero? Vom Stein: Ultimately in a successful process design, we aim to achieve the maximum yield of value-added product with minimal input of resources and raw materials. So, there is an intrinsic synergy between highly intensified processes and their carbon footprint. The digitalization of process design allows us to track the CO 2 footprint during every iteration of the design. Establishing this tracking as a routine design KPI is one of the key initiatives to drive net zero semiconductor material solutions.In addition, advanced process design is a key enabler for circular value streams. We are currently working on multiple projects to recycle waste streams and re-feed them as raw materials in our processes. We are also exploring how our chemical process technology can aid our customers’ recycling efforts such as reusing lithography cleaning solvent waste streams.SEMI: In your previous talks, you emphasized the importance of diversity, equity and inclusion (DE I). How is this related to the digital revolution? Vom Stein: In the not-so-distant past, my team consisted mainly of process chemists and engineers. Now, we are working with data scientists, model developers, automation experts and many more substance matter experts on our projects. This work requires an inclusive culture to maximize the impact of these diverse sets of insights and disciplines.We also must acknowledge that, in many instances, we are exploring unchartered territory that requires a “leap of faith” culture trusting in digital models. Imagine, for example, a production plant director who is used to a stepwise physical scale-up, now being onboard with skipping physical scale-up steps by using predictive process models. It takes time to really establish a trust in the “power of data.” This type of culture is championed at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany on all levels: from CEO to the production operator. Our DE I Report showcases how we continuously build belonging for over 64,000 employees across the globe.SEMI: Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany is a key contributor to semiconductor innovations. How important is it for Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany to collaborate with other industry leaders to achieve goals in matters such as sustainability and DE I? Vom Stein: Collaboration with our customers and OEM partners is a key piece of achieving the molecular precision necessary to drive technology evolution that serves as the backbone to society. More and more, we need to link our material solution manufacturing process to the process parameters of the tools in the fab, ultimately improving the chip yield of our customers. To transition from the nanometer era to the angstrom era, we must establish these process correlations end to end along the value chain, which is why we are heavily engaged on our Athinia collaboration framework.Besides technology enablement, sustainability is the next avenue where cross value chain collaboration is a must to lower the CO 2 and energy footprint of our industry. To this end, we have started a joint program with Intel on AI-enabled sustainable semiconductor processes.The importance of industry collaboration is why I was so honored to participate at SEMICON Europa together with representatives from leading companies.SEMI: What did enjoy about SEMICON Europa 2023 that you would like to experience again in 2024? Vom Stein: I was really impressed by the SEMICON Europa 20 Under 30 recognition program launched during the show. The program honored the brightest young leaders who have demonstrated success in their careers in the microelectronics supply chain. We were very happy with the acknowledgement of one of our brightest minds at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Balazs Bordas, Digital Twin Implementation Lead. He has been instrumental for many of our pioneering efforts in this space.Such recognition programs are very important for our industry and can make a significant difference in the perception of the semiconductor industry and its ability to motivate and attract more talent. I personally hope to see similar programs in the years to come.Additional resources:Learn more about diversity and inclusion at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.Learn more about Merck’s KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany modular lab automation approach.Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany sponsored SEMICON Europa and SEMI Advanced Packaging Conference in 2023. Thorsten vom Stein is Director, Head of Process Design Semiconductor Materials at Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. Based in Darmstadt, Germany, he holds a PhD in Chemistry from the RWTH Aachen University and has extensive experience in Catalysis, Materials Science, Process Development and Value Chain Innovation.Serena Brischetto is Director of Marketing and Digital Engagement at SEMI Europe.

Silicon carbide (SiC), with its wide band gap and high thermal conductivity, is increasingly favored for semiconductor power applications across several fast-growing industries. Its ability to operate at higher voltages and frequencies enables significant efficiency gains, particularly in e-mobility, where SiC offers key advantages in size, weight, and speed compared to traditional silicon-based power devices.However, as promising as SiC is, the industry still faces critical challenges in scaling to meet growing demand. Key barriers include cost, reliability, and manufacturing capacity, all of which must be addressed for SiC to fully mature.SEMI spoke with Entegris Senior Director - Advanced Technology Engagements, Office of the CTO Mark Puttock, Ph.D., to discuss the challenges of scaling SiC power chip manufacturing from a material supplier’s perspective. Puttock shared insights ahead of his presentation at the Entegris session, Cultivating a Thriving SiC Market: Tackling Key Challenges Across the Value Chain, taking place on November 14, 2024, at SEMICON Europa in Munich, Germany. Don’t miss the opportunity to engage with experts from Entegris and other industry leaders. Registration is now open. SEMI: Global megatrends like environmental crises and AI drive the necessity for SiC power semiconductors. What is the current status? Puttock: The increasing demand for efficient power electronics — fueled by global megatrends such as vehicle electrification, environmental de-carbonization, and the rise of power-hungry AI chips — drives the necessity of wide bandgap semiconductors. SiC offers advantages of weight, size, and speed over traditional silicon (Si) solutions, which are particularly vital in automotive applications 600V and above. However, SiC chip manufacturing has not reached the maturity of silicon-based processing. Greater maturity will help reduce costs, which will accelerate adoption in the market.SEMI: What are the main challenges in scaling SiC?Puttock: Challenges in scaling SiC power chip manufacturing to high volumes are not surprising. That’s because high volume producers have not been operating long enough to resolve early-stage issues. From a material perspective, SiC is more challenging to manage compared to Si. The challenges we identify include:Chemical Mechanical Planarization (CMP): SiC is nearly as hard as diamond and significantly harder than Si, making it challenging to achieve a high removal rate while maintaining both planarity and low defectivity. This step is crucial toward the end of the wafering process and before the epitaxial growth of device layers.Handling: SiC is more brittle than Si, making it more susceptible to damage or breakage.Implantation: SiC is more difficult to implant than Si, requiring higher temperatures and the use of aluminum instead of boron as a P-type implant species. Additionally, it is a significant challenge to achieve a reliable aluminum source with a long and stable lifetime.Thermal Processing for Wafer Growth and Epitaxy Processes: SiC processes run hotter than Si ( 2000° C for wafering, 1500° C for epitaxial growth), demanding resilient chamber parts to achieve good lifetimes.Sustainability: Because SiC is extremely hard, the CMP process requires significant amounts of slurry. Improving slurry recycling and wastewater management continues to be a challenge.On October 29, we will address these issues in our webinar, “Challenges in Scaling SiC Power Chip Manufacturing: A Material Supplier's Perspective” This session will provide valuable insights and considerations for advancing maturity in high-volume SiC power chip manufacturing. SEMI: Can you elaborate on the challenges associated with CMP for SiC wafers? Puttock: SiC wafers are challenging to process, requiring specialized materials and methods compared to traditional silicon. Defects in the SiC wafer crystal during non-optimized CMP processing can propagate into the device epitaxial layers. This leads to yield loss, increased electrical resistance, reduced performance, and wasted power.SiC wafers must be cut, ground, lapped, and polished to create the necessary surface properties before depositing active layers. As the demand for these devices grows, optimizing the CMP process is essential to ensure the desired surface quality and planarity required for device fabrication. For a deeper understanding of these challenges, we recommend downloading our latest white paper, “Solving CMP Challenges in High-Volume SiC Production,” which covers:Achieving maximum smoothness with high removal ratesReducing the total cost of ownership Optimizing CMP slurry and pads for the unique wafer chemistry and topology of SiC wafersSEMI: What do you mean by optimizing slurry for SiC CMP?Puttock: CMP slurry typically consists of abrasive nanoparticle powder dispersed in a chemically reactive solution. The objective is to achieve a smooth, defect-free surface (less than 1 A Ra) with a high removal rate (greater than 7 µm/m).Traditionally, achieving high removal rates and smooth surfaces required two separate slurries. This approach sometimes forced SiC wafer manufacturers to choose a defect-free surface over a faster, more efficient CMP process, depending on their fab capabilities. Today, optimization allows SiC wafer manufacturers to achieve both high polishing capacity and good final surface quality using a single slurry.Additionally, while the slurry is the most critical part of the CMP process, the pad must be compatible with the application. This ensures the desired planarity while also preventing scratches or contamination of the SiC wafer surface. Research shows that optimized thermoplastic polyurethane CMP pads outperform traditional thermoset polyurethane pads. The optimized pads minimize surface damage and enhance removal rates due to their bulk hardness.SEMI: What are the future challenges for SiC devices? Puttock: SiC devices are increasingly favored for their superior energy efficiency and reduced environmental impact. However, the SiC manufacturing process presents challenges due to its high-temperature operations, which consumes significant amounts of energy and shortens the lifespan of chamber components. To address this, improving efficiency in these processes will be crucial in the coming years.Recycling is another important challenge. For example, CMP slurries present an opportunity for water recycling and conservation. At Entegris, we are committed to this issue and are actively collaborating with key industry players to enhance material circularity and prioritize sustainability in our new product development.SEMI: How is Entegris contributing to advancements in SiC technology, and what initiatives or partnerships do you have planned for the near future? Puttock: Entegris is an active member of the SEMI Global Automotive Advisory Council (GAAC) and participates in a working group focused on SiC with key industry leaders such as Volkswagen, BMW, Porsche Consulting, onsemi, Infineon, STMicroelectronics, and others. Our engagement spans the entire semiconductor supply chain, collaborating with integrated device manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers in fabs worldwide. Additionally, we recently announced our latest long-term agreement with onsemi, which underscores our commitment to advancing SiC technology.SEMI: What are your expectations regarding your participation at SEMICON Europa? Puttock: SEMICON Europa is a unique platform to connect with the semiconductor and automotive ecosystems. Last year, we organized a highly successful SiC session in collaboration with SEMI at both SEMICON West and SEMICON Europa, focusing on “Connecting the Automotive Ecosystem Towards More Mature SiC Manufacturing.”This year, we will continue the discussion with industry leaders during our session, “Cultivating a Thriving SiC Market: Tackling Key Challenges Across the Value Chain.” Our goal is to provide insights and propose solutions that will enable SiC power chips to achieve their anticipated role in future technology ecosystems.We will present alongside Porsche Consulting, and the talks will be followed by a panel discussion that will explore the current state and future prospects of SiC technology in power electronics. We invite visitors to join us at the Executive Forum on Thursday, November 14, from 1:40 – 3:00 p.m. and to visit us at Silicon Saxony booth 219 in Hall C1.About Mark PuttockMark Puttock, Ph.D., is the senior director of advanced technology engagements in the office of the CTO at Entegris. He has worked in the semiconductor industry for over 30 years with a background in physics and plasma processing. As a team member of the Entegris CTO office since 2014, Mark has followed technology trends and collaborated with Entegris’ global product development teams to develop timely and differentiated new materials, chemistries, and components for all the world’s semiconductor manufacturers. Maria Daniela Perez is Communications Manager at SEMI Europe.

Micron, one of the top three memory semiconductor companies, reported solid results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 (June to August) to extend a multi-quarter string of strong growth. However, the company’s mediocre guidance for the current quarter has raised concerns that memory demand will start to slow.To shed light on this super memory cycle, which began in the second half of 2016, this article examines correlations among the top three memory suppliers’ sales revenue, quarterly inventory levels, World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) market data, and memory fab equipment investments reported by SEMI.The Memory Inventory Cycle Index, which is based on financial data reported by Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron, is the difference between the year-over-year growth rates of sales (or shipments) and inventories. The index explains business cycle fluctuations such as expansions and contractions, trending up in expansions and declining in contractions. Figure 1 shows both historical Micron sales (blue dotted line) and the quarterly Memory Inventory Cycle Index (black solid line). To minimize seasonal fluctuations, both were calculated based on a four-quarter moving average of sales and inventories. Figure 1. Memory Inventory Cycle Index Compared to Memory Sales* Remarks1) Memory Inventory Cycle Index = YoY growth rate of memory sales revenues - YoY growth rate of memory total inventoris value on a four quarters moving average.2) Calculated memory sales and inventoris are based on Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron public announcements.3) South Korea Won were converted to US$ based on the quaterly average value released by FRED.4) Companies’ sales data were calculated based on 4-quarter moving average.5) Company data complied by SEMI. As shown in Figure 1, the Memory Inventory Cycle Index has been declining since peaking in the fourth quarter of 2017, mirroring the previous two contractions – in 2010 and 2014 – in which memory sales slowed or stagnated after four quarters of the index decline. Accordingly, if this relationship holds between the Memory Inventory Cycle Index and sales, Micron’s sales will slow in the coming quarters and is consistent with Micron’s guidance for the current quarter. Moreover, the index suggests that the sum of three companies’ sales (the solid red line) will exhibit a similar trend of decreased growth in the coming quarters, which will impact the annual growth rate of global memory sales.WSTS recently increased its 2018 forecast for memory sales to 30.5%, up from 26.5% projected in June of this year. However, the 3-month moving average of memory sales shows that memory sales already increased by 48% YoY in the first half of the year, which means growth is expected to be lower in the second half of the year. Other signs pointing to a weaker end to the year include front-end equipment investments by the top three memory suppliers. SEMI is modeling an annual increase of only one percent for the year for these suppliers, with spending down 23% in the second half relative to the first half of the year.Figure 2 shows the historical trend of the Memory Inventory Cycle Index, the YoY growth rate of memory sales, and YoY memory fab equipment investments. The Memory Inventory Cycle Index increased faster than memory sales and fab equipment investments in the past two cycles. In the most recent memory cycle, these three indexes are moving in tandem, each peaking in the fourth quarter of 2017. Figure 2. Memory Inventory Cycle Index, Memory Sales and Memory Fab Equipment Investments* Remarks1) Both sales and memory fab equipment investments data were calculated based on 4-quarter moving average to minimize seasonal fluctuation.2) All data are from SEMI, except memory sales (WSTS) While overall memory sales continue to be strong this year, memory ASPs have shown signs of weakening right after the inventory index peak. NAND flash ASPs have been trending downward since the first quarter of 2018. With the recent inventory correction and short-term CPU shortage, DRAM ASPs are expected to soften in the fourth quarter of 2018. The looming memory market slowdown has memory makers adjusting their capacity expansion plans for the rest of this year. Some new capacity additions, especially for DRAM, have been pushed out to 2019. The memory inventory cycle index has to some extent foretold the slowdown of the memory market. In the second and final part of this article, we will discuss the correlation between the Memory Inventory Cycle Index and China’s semiconductor sales and Purchasing Managers Index. We will also look at the increasing level of memory inventory in the past few quarters and its composition including Work-in-Progress and Finished goods. Clark Tseng is director and Sungho Yoon is senior market research analyst in Industry Research and Statistics at SEMI. SEMI World Fab ForecastFor the latest worldwide memory fabs forecast including company details, please see the SEMI World Fab Forecast. The report includes quarter-to-quarter fab data from planning to production for both DRAM and NAND Flash companies.

The China IC Ecosystem Report, a comprehensive report for the IC manufacturing supply chain, reveals that front-end fab capacity in China will grow to account for 16 percent of the world's semiconductor fab capacity this year, a share that will increase to 20 percent by the end of 2020. With the rapid growth, China will top the rest of the world in fab investment in 2020 with more than $20 billion in spending, driven by memory and foundry projects funded by both multinational and domestic companies, according to the new report released today by SEMI.The report also shows that IC Design remained the largest semiconductor sector in China for the second year in a row with $31.9 billion in revenue in 2017, widening its lead over the long-dominant IC Packaging and Test sector. The ascent of China’s IC Design sector comes as the region’s equipment market is expected to claim the top spot in 2020 for the first time on the strength of the continuing development of its domestic manufacturing capability. China’s maturing domestic fab sector is also benefiting domestic equipment and materials suppliers. Both groups continue to see gains in their product offerings and capabilities, particularly in silicon wafer production. The China IC Ecosystem Report is produced by SEMI, the global industry association and provider of independent electronics market research.The more than RMB140 billion (US$21.5 billion) accumulated by the National IC Fund, a critical component of the 2014 National Guideline to address China’s semiconductor trade deficit, has spurred rapid gains throughout the region’s IC supply chain. Semiconductors are China’s largest import by revenue. Phase 2 of funding aims to raise another RMB150-200 billion ($23.0-$30.0 billion).Encouraged by the National Guideline and favorable policies, skilled overseas talent is returning to China, triggering an explosion of domestic IC Design start-ups that are benefiting from access to investment and favorable policies, the report shows.Other highlights from The China IC Ecosystem Report include: Currently 25 new fab construction projects are underway or planned in China. 17 - 300 mm fabs are being tracked as part of this investment and expansion activity. Foundry, DRAM and 3D NAND are the leading segments for fab investment and new capacity in China. China’s IC Packaging and Test industry is also moving up the value chain by enhancing its technology offerings through mergers and acquisitions and building advanced capabilities to entice international integrated device manufacturers. China’s IC materials market, currently dominated by Packaging materials, became the second largest regional market for materials in 2016, a position it solidified in 2017. China’s materials market is expected to grow at a 10 percent CAGR from 2015 to 2019, driven primarily by the region’s new fab capacity ramp in the coming years. Fab capacity will expand at a 14 percent CAGR during that period. The China IC Ecosystem Report covers the latest semiconductor supply chain and market developments including the rise of China’s IC industry, national and local government policies, public and private funding, and their implications for China's IC supply chain. The report also compares key domestic companies and their international peers segment by segment. To learn more and get a sample of the report, visit http://www.semi.org/en/china-ic-ecosystem-report.Eugenia is a Senior Product Marketing Manager at SEMI.

2Q’18 Electronic Supply Chain Growth Update Chart 1 is a preliminary estimate of global growth of the electronic supply chain by sector for 2Q’18 vs 2Q’17. Note the strong performance of semiconductors, SEMI capital equipment and passive components. Chart 2 gives preliminary 2Q’18 world electronic equipment growth by type. Global electronic equipment sales rose an estimated 9%+ when consolidated into US dollars in the second quarter of this year compared to the same quarter in 2017. Based on this, data global electronic equipment sales growth appears to have now peaked on a 3/12 growth basis for this present business cycle (Chart 3). As a caution these charts are based on a combination of actual company financial reports and estimates for companies that have not yet reported their calendar second quarter financial results. A number of large companies have yet to report but these early estimates have historically been close to final growth values. We will update Chart 1 next month.Semiconductor Capital Equipment Business Cycle Semiconductor capital equipment sales are historically very volatile, with their growth fluctuating MUCH MORE than electronic equipment (Chart 4). However, both series appear to have peaked on a 3/12 basis for this current cycle. Semiconductors, SEMI capital equipment and Taiwan chip foundry sales all are seeing slower growth. 3/12 values 1 still indicate an expansion but slower growth is indicated. Supply chain performance in the second half of this year bears careful watching!Walt Custer of Custer Consulting Group is an analyst focused on the global electronics industry.

Forecast SummariesCharts 1 and 2 are the recent world growth forecasts for this year and next for GDP (World Bank), Electronic Equipment and Printed Wiring Boards (Custer Consulting Group), Semiconductors (SIA/WSTSI and new Semiconductor Capital Equipment (SEMI). The semiconductor-related sectors are clearly outgrowing the rest of the supply chain. These forecasts require regular review considering the current global political uncertainty and potential industry output and trade disruptions.Updates to these forecasts are regularly available.Taiwan Wafer Fab SalesComposite sales of 14 Taiwan-listed wafer fabs including TSMC and UMC dipped sharply in June. This sales composite has been historically a useful leading indicator for global semiconductor shipments (Chart 3). If wafer fab sales remain weak, they may signal an imminent chip slowdown. These data are updated monthly.Wafer Fab, Semiconductor and SEMI Capital Equipment Business CyclesChart 4 compares the 3/12 growth of global semiconductor and semiconductor capital equipment to Taiwan-listed wafer fabs. Watch this information over the next few months to see if the wafer fab dip is temporary or leads semiconductor and SEMI equipment down to slower growth. Walt Custer of Custer Consulting Group is an analyst focused on the global electronics [email protected]

Driven by the adoption of evermore electronic components in end products, the semiconductor industry is facing a new era in which device scaling and cost reduction will no longer continue on the path followed for the past few decades. Advanced nodes no longer bring the desired cost benefit, and R D investments in new lithography solutions and devices below 10nm nodes are rising substantially. In order to satisfy market demands, the industry is looking for technology solutions to bridge the gap and improve cost/performance while at the same time adding more functionality through integration.More than-Moore devices (including MEMS and sensors, CMOS Image Sensors, power electronic, along with RF devices) represent this new functional diversification of technologies, combining performance, integration and cost not limited to CMOS scaling, and their importance will become more and more preponderant.In 2017, wafer demand for More than Moore devices1 reached almost 45 million 8-inch eq. wafers. This figure is expected to reach more than 66 million 8-inch eq wafers by 2023, showing an almost 10 percent growth during this period.This increase is supported by the famous megatrends detailed in the new analysis, Wafer Starts for More Than Moore Applications2, performed by Yole Développement (Yole). This analysis is relevant to the following markets: 5G with wireless infrastructure and mobile segments, mobile including additional functionalities, voice processing, smart automotive and electrification, AR/VR3, and AI4.For the first time, the market research and strategy consulting company presents a dedicated technology and market analysis focused on the overall wafer demand for More than Moore devices. The aim of this report is to give an overview of wafer shipments for More than Moore devices, from wafer size to semiconductor material substrate type including silicon, glass, SOI5, SiC6, SiGe7, GaN8, InP9, GaAs10, sapphire and ceramic, and thus identify business opportunities in the More than Moore industry.For over 20 years, Yole has been analyzing the industry evolution, discussing with leading companies to understand market challenges, and identifying technical breakthroughs. The Wafer Starts for More Than Moore Applications report is the result of this 20-year research. Yole’s analysts combine technical and market expertise to describe the More than Moore world. Market size (volume and value), substrate sizes and formats, value chain, technology processes and market drivers, business opportunities and competitive landscape are all part of Yole’s analysis.The various research teams at Yole, encompassing power electronics, imaging and sensing, RF and semiconductor manufacturing, collaborate to present an in-depth understanding of the current market evolution, taking into account innovations and emerging businesses. This methodology allows Yole to cover the overall megatrends and illustrate the links between wafer substrate, device, module, sub-system, system and high-end product.Under this dynamic ecosystem, the deployment of renewable energy sources and industrial motor drives as well as the electrification of the automotive industry are good examples of the impact of megatrends on the semiconductor industry development. They are directly impacting the power devices’ wafer market, resulting in an expected 13 percent CAGR between 2017 and 2023. Already in 2017, this market represented more than 60 percent of the overall wafer market for More than Moore devices, and is currently still dominating the More than Moore industry.5G is one megatrend driving wafer demand. 5G is leading the More than Moore evolution, bringing any service to any user, anywhere. Antennas and filtering functionalities are two of the key innovations of this evolution.Without doubt, the stringent requirements of 5G are driving increasing demand for RF components like RF filters, power amplifiers (PAs), and low-noise amplifiers (LNAs) to ensure access to tomorrow’s radio network.This year, Corning and Menlo Micro announced a major agreement to develop a DMS[11] product platform. Both partners propose an innovative approach based on TGV12 packaging technology. According to both partners, this technical choice allows them to cover operation of frequencies beyond 50GHz. Amongst the numerous megatrends, mobility is not far behind 5G. Demand for advanced mobile applications integrating more and more functionality is growing. In order to compete companies are developing smart combinations of devices such as fingerprint sensors, ambient light sensors, 3D sensing, microphones, and inertial MEMS devices. As an example, impressive developments focused on SOI-based NIR sensors have been released by SOITEC for front-side imager applications including advanced 3D image sensors. This technical evolution will clearly contribute, in the near future, to strong growth of the wafer market for MEMS and sensors. Additionally, the automotive industry, with the development of smart cars, has reached a new level of complexity requiring the development and integration of new sensors. In this context, many companies are aiming to extend their capabilities in ADAS13 and autonomous driving. Recently the leading company On Semiconductor acquired SensL Technologies, the leader in SPAD and LiDAR sensing products for automotive. This acquisition is one sign among many highlighting the evolution of this historic industry, searching for new expertise and welcoming new players, more aware of consumer habits and needs.Yole’s analysts expect smart automobiles to drive consistent growth of CIS14 and sensor wafer production over the next five years. It is fueled by the increasing integration of high-value sensing modules like RADAR, imaging, LiDAR and more. Although automotive will be mainly supported by these growth areas, historic MEMS and sensors such as MEMS pressure sensors and inertial MEMS will continue growing at a reasonable rate, supporting the standard automotive world.Yole Group of Companies including Yole, System Plus Consulting, KnowMade, PISEO and Blumorpho follows and analyzes the industry continuously. The Group has developed in-depth expertise and knowledge focused on the semiconductor manufacturing process and markets. Companies of the Group work together to understand the technical issues, identify business opportunities and propose valuable analyses.Yole invites you to an overview of the Wafer Starts for More Than Moore Applications report during the exclusive online event, titled “Wafer Starts for More than Moore Applications – Webcast”. This hourlong webcast takes place on June 28 at 5:00 PM CEST. The market research company will present key results of this report including megatrends, wafer market evolution and technical trends. Moderated by David Jourdan, Sales Coordination Customer Service at Yole, it welcomes the two leading companies, SPTS (an Orbotech Company) and Corning Precision Glass Solutions: "Trends in Wafer Processing Technologies for RF MEMS" – Speaker David Butler, Executive Vice President and General Manager at SPTS Technologies "Benefits of Through Glass Vias for RF applications" – Speaker: Ravij Parmar, New Product Development Manager for Corning Precision Glass Solutions These results will be also presented by the Semiconductor Software team at SEMICON West (Booth #1320), SEMICON Taiwan and SEMICON Europa (Booth #A-4667). Make sure to meet Yole’s analysts and get a valuable overview of the More than Moore industry. Agenda and more information are available on i-micronew.com. Stay tuned!About the authors:Amandine Pizzagalli is a Technology Market Analyst, Equipment Materials - Semiconductor Manufacturing - at Yole Développement (Yole). Amandine is part of the development of the Semiconductor Software division of Yole with the production of reports and custom consulting projects. She is in charge of comprehensive analyses focused on semiconductor equipment, materials and manufacturing processes. Emilie Jolivet is Director of the Semiconductor Software Division at Yole Développement, part of Yole Group of Companies, where her specific interests cover package assembly, semiconductor manufacturing, memory and software computing fields. 1 Including: MEMS sensors, CIS, and power, photonics and RF devices2 Yole Développement, March 20183 AR/VR : Augmented Reality/Virtual Reality4 AI : Artificial Intelligence.5 SOI : Silicon On Insulator6 SiC : Silicon Carbid7 SiGe: Silicon Germanium8 GaN: Gallium Nitride9 InP: Indium Phosphide10 GaAs : Gallium Arsenide111 DMS : Digital-Micro-Switch12 TGV : Through Glass Via13 ADAS : Autonomous Driving Assistance Service14 CIS : CMOS Image Sensor

Powerful winds of change are re-shaping the semiconductor industry as it flexes and re-positions to power a new wave of growth on the back of emerging applications. Today, the industry is thriving, with growth expected to continue through 2019 even as Moore’s Law – the trusty doubling of transistors roughly every two years – begins to pump the brakes. Product mix and production technology are shifting as the dominant smartphone and PC markets, having seen their growth peaks, start to give way to large markets with relatively low semiconductor penetration, such as automotive.What’s more, new potentially ubiquitous technologies and platforms such as AI, blockchain and smart manufacturing are redefining market dynamics and the semiconductor ecosystem that underlies them.Troublingly, the most significant threats to the continued growth of the semiconductor industry are not of its own making. Macroeconomic trends and trade policy disputes loom.These were some of the key takeaways from the SEMI Market Symposium kicking off SEMICON West in San Francisco this week. Following is a deeper look.Semiconductor MarketThe consensus view, reflected in forecasts presented by Clark Tseng of SEMI and Bob Johnson of Gartner, is that the semiconductor industry could top $500 billion in 2019 after reaching $400 billion in 2017. According to Gartner, smartphones and PCs will continue to account for large parts of the market, but will be displaced as major drivers of market growth by the emergence of industrial, automotive and, to a lesser extent, storage, from 2017 to 2022. Johnson noted that while communications and data processing applications drive logic device demand, average sales prices (ASPs) are a bigger contributor to revenue growth than unit growth.Leading-edge processors are a big part of the ASP picture, with equipment costs increasing ~20 percent per node. One challenge is that as Moore’s Law loses steam, leading logic producers are increasingly going their own way with new production technology. The volatile DRAM market – now in a “super cycle,” according to Tseng, and expected to peak in 2019 – has been stoking memory market growth.Initially, supply shortages fueled memory price increases as three of the four leading memory makers invested in flash rather than DRAM capacity. However, memory prices have been more recently been lifted by technology complexity, particularly as DRAM has moved to 3D architectures. The good news is that pricing, at long last, appears to be driven by value.Automotive MarketWith automotive accounting for less than 10 percent of semiconductor demand, there is room for growth. Rudy Burger of Woodside Partners noted that while the end market for automobiles is growing slowly, at 3 percent CAGR, the market size is nearing 100 million units. In market segments such as electric vehicles, the semiconductor content exceeds $1,000 but can be much higher.For example, the BMW i3 sports over $4,000 in semiconductor content. Burger said connectivity, autonomous driving and shared mobility services are also key opportunities for semiconductors to deepen their penetration in automobiles. For instance, the auto market for cameras, is expected to grow from $2 billion in 2017 to $6 billion in 2022.On average, high-end vehicles feature over $1,000 in semiconductor content, whereas low-end vehicles hover in the $400 range, said Anand Srinivasan of Bloomberg. Because the automotive market is segmented by function or subsystem, with different suppliers focusing on different areas, there is little supply concentration. Srinivasan also pointed out that because of significant differences in their objectives, automotive safety and automation systems should be developed separately.BlockchainThe chief benefit of blockchain is the trust it begets among all parties to a digital transaction through four fundamental features, said David Treat of Accenture: The tracking of provenance (knowing who has touched data, and what has happened to it) Tamper evidence (knowing if someone has tried to change the data) Control (which data elements to share with which parties) Security at the data element level While most of the hype over blockchain focuses on tokenized assets and ledgers (bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies), the fundamental application in the semiconductor industry is sharing trusted access to reference data at the data element level. This ability to provide shared trust can reduce costs throughout the supply chain and across enterprises. For example, future blockchain implementations will offer a full ecosystem view to any supply chain participant. While blockchain has typically been deployed through centralized control or platforms, peer consortia, such as SEMI, could help weave the benefits of blockchain through various ecosystems by enabling equipment and material suppliers, device manufacturers, designers and system integrators to share business and technical information securely and, if desired, anonymously.Global and Macroeconomic TrendsThe biggest threats to the continued growth of the semiconductor industry are exogenous. After a decade of steady recovery since the financial crisis, the global economy appears to be heading for a slowdown. Duncan Meldrum of Hilltop Economics made the case that the global economy is at or just past the peak of the business cycle, and semiconductor equipment is past the peak.A key indicator of a looming recessionary is the movement toward an inverted yield curve, in which long-term interest rates fall below short-term rates – a phenomena that could materialize this year or next.The increasingly heated trade climate, marked by high-stakes confrontations between the U.S. and China, threatens complex supply chain arrangements, though mercurial policy statements could do even more harm than stiffer trade tariffs. Underscoring competing interests between the U.S. and China and the unpredictability of their relations, Robert Maire of Semiconductor Advisors pointed out that, in 2019, 60 percent of all semiconductors are expected to be used in China, deepening the dependency of several U.S. semiconductor companies on China.Paul Semenza, for SEMI Industry Research and Statistics